8/20/11

DEFINITIVE GUIDANCE WIN TOTALS PART TWO

Good Evening Sportsfans
I hope you enjoyed my AFC breakdown from yesterday.  Here is the analysis for the NFC.  Vegas Win Totals are stated after the teams name.

NFC NORTH

CHICAGO     8.5 WINS
The Bears had a decent season last year but could not handle the Packers.  Also the 11 wins from last year included a very dodgy win at home against Detroit.  That being said, they have the easiest schedule in the NFC North and have a respectable 11 Power Rating.  8.5 wins seems too close for comfort as the Eagleseye sees 9 for the Bears this year.
If you cannot stay away from the Bears the correct call is OVER, but there are much easier places to make money without all the risk.

DETROIT     7.5 WINS
Perhaps the unluckiest team in the league last year.  6 wins was not a lot to show for the effort.  The Lions are an improved team this year and although they have a tough schedule they should get out of the basement this year.  Eagleseye see's an 8 locked, 9 probable and 10 possible for the Lions.
THIS IS A SILVER PICK          TAKE THE OVER

GREEN BAY    11 WINS
Concensus Power Rating 2, 13th ranked Strength of Schedule.  The Pack are going to have a tough time topping that practically flawless run in to the Superbowl last year.  Must win situations week after week.  This is a well managed, well organized team with all the weapons to win any game.
This is a no risk pick because 11 wins would be a bitter disappointment for the Green and Gold and well within this teams ability. But....... with everyone looking to knock down the Superbowl Champions, it is going to be one toughy after another.
Eagleseye sees 12 for the Packers so we are over with minimum wagers.

MINNESOTA    6.5 WINS
The weakest Power Rating of this tough bunch (18) and a 10th ranked Strength of Schedule.  The Vikings are heading for the basement and they will  not break the 6.5 in the eyes of the Eagle.  However 6 looks like the number so we are staying away from this wager.
Eagleseye says NO ACTION

NFC SOUTH

ATLANTA      10 WINS
The jewel of the South.  Falcons had 12 wins last year.  They are improved.  The schedule is soft and they have an exciting balance of explosive offence and solid, disciplined defence.  11 is locked, 12 is probable and 13 is possible.
THIS IS A GOLD PICK     TAKE THE OVER

CAROLINA     4.5 WINS
How did the weakest team in the league end up with the toughest schedule.  If this line was 5 we would be up to our necks in this but with 3 probable and 4 possible, this significantly downgrades the strength of our pick.  2 wins last year might end up being repeated this year but we cannot bring ourselves to add any weight to the pick.
Eagleseye says TAKE THE UNDER but don't bet the ranch.

NEW ORLEANS     10 WINS
The Saints have a a solid concensus 6 Power Rating and a 13th ranked Strength of Schedule.  11 wins last year looks to be well within the capabilities of this team.  12 would not be a surprise and with a little luck 13 could happen.  Eagleseye sees a good times a "rollin" in New Orleans this year.
THIS IS A SILVER PICK     TAKE THE OVER

TAMPA BAY     8 WINS
Tampa Bay have a relatively harmless schedule and they are starting the season pretty much where they left off last year.  Battling for the best record of the 3 Florida Teams, we might see a couple of surprises.  Eagleseye thinks that Vegas got this one right. 7 locked, 8 probable, 9 possible.
No confidence here so Eagleseye says No ACTION.

NFC EAST

DALLAS         9 WINS
Lots of eyes on Dallas this year.  Underachievers last year, reasonable schedule this year.  High scoring new stadium, unfortunately too many of those points are scored by the visitors.  Eagleseye sees more W's than last year but the number is probably 9.  If you want to stray from the guidance just to enjoy a wager, GO UNDER.  (Hint:  Vegas usually gets bigger money on the Cowboys so they usually pay special attention to balance the money).
Eagleseye says the oddsmakers are right.  NO ACTION is the correct play.

NEW YORK GIANTS     9 WINS
10 wins last year and Power ranked 10.  There are not many people around that think the Giants are not good for another 10 this year.  Eagleseye see 10 for the Giants and if the schedule was a little weaker he might have stuck is neck out a little further.  10 is locked and loaded for the NYG and 11 would not shock to the Eagleseye.
THIS IS A SILVER PICK     TAKE THE OVER

PHILADELPHIA     9.5 WINS
Eagles on paper look like the most improved team this year. 2010 Power Rating was 10, concensus rating puts them at 4 with an average schedule.  Las Vegas does not seem to be buying the hype because they won 10 last year.  I have seen one prediction of 9 but most are 10's, and 11's.
Eagleseys says 10 would be a let down.  11 is a lock, 12 is probable and 13 is possible.
THIS IS A GOLD PICK    TAKE THE OVER

WASHINGTON     6.5 WINS
As the Eagles rise the Redskins fall.  Despite the weak schedule, 7 wins are not in the future of this team.  Have not improved this off season, weak defence and anemic offense.  If the Skins are the luckiest team in the league this year they will win 6.  3 or 4 are probable, 2 is possible.
THIS IS A GOLD PICK               TAKE THE UNDER

NFC WEST

ARIZONA        5.5 WINS
Eagleseye see's the Cardinals as an improved team this year.  Easiest schedule in the NFL and only being asked to improve one game from the 5 of last season.  The correct number here according to Eagleseye is 6 but there can be no confidence to take much of a risk.
Eagleseye says take the OVER if you must, but we prefer the action elsewhere.

SAN FRAN      7.5 WINS
This team is not as good as it thinks it is.  Weak Team, Weak Schedule.  6 wins last season and nothing to make the Eagle believe that there are more wins to come this season.
Concensus Power Rating is 31 for this team.  Eagleseye says 7 is a pipe dream. 6 Nah. 5 Possible. 4 Probable.
THIS IS A GOLD PICK       TAKE THE UNDER

SEATTLE         6.5 WINS
Seahawks are not easy to read again this year.  They are a team with a lot of questions and the stats do not contain the answers.  Eagleseye analysis says 7 is possibly the number but 6 is probably the number.
EAGLESEYE does not gamble and this is a gamble.  NO ACTION

ST LOUIS         7 WINS
Another hats off to the oddsmakers.  7 is probably the number here.  As with the Seahawks, the Rams are another bad team with a soft schedule, but nothing in the tea leaves to give us any reason to risk it.
Eagleseye says NO ACTION.  Stick to the Gold and Silver Predictions.

I hope you find this analysis informative and profitable.
We are only 19 days away from the Packers Saints opening night game.
Stay tuned for thoughts and analysis as we head into the new season.

Email me at eagleseyenfl@gmail.com for information on the 2011 Season package that is 100% guaranteed to make you money.

Have a great weekend
Eagleseye

8/18/11

FREE NFL PICKS WIN TOTALS 2011

Here is the final word on win totals for the 2011/2012 NFL season.
There is planty of data out regarding Strength of Schedule, Draft Ratings and Free Agent Moves, so the EAGLESEYE is confident that we are on track here.
Consistent with the system's strategy regarding Margin of Error, the Gold and Silver Picks look very strong, and are only proposed when we have plaenty of cushion.
As I stated in my previous post, when you collect your winnings next January, put some aside for the purchase of this guidance next year, because it will not be free.

DEFINITIVE GUIDANCE (PART ONE)
(Vegas win total is stated after team name)

AFC NORTH

BALTIMORE 10.5 WINS
Ravens have a concensus power rating of about 7.  Had 12 wins last year and should have a very good year again this year.  The clincher here is that they have the second weakest schedule which makes 13 a likely total.
THIS IS A GOLD PICK           TAKE THE OVER

CINCINNATI 7 WINS
Despite the weak schedule, the Bengals have long season ahead of them.  Concensus power rating is 25 and they are unlikely to improve on the 5 wins from last year.
THIS IS A SILVER PICK       TAKE THE UNDER

CLEVELAND 7 WINS
The Eagleseye feels sorry for the Browns this year.  On paper they do not look as good as they were last year.  They have the lowest power rating (29) and the highest (19) strength of schedule in the AFC North.  The best they will do this year is 5 wins.
THIS IS A SILVER PICK        TAKE THE UNDER

PITTSBURGH 11 WINS
Steelers look solid again this year.  They will probably end up with the #1 defence in the NFL again and that will win them a lot of games.  Concensus power rating is 3 and they have the 27th weakest schedule.  A repeat of last years 12 wins seems to be locked and loaded for this year and they should improve on that based on the weaker schedule.
THIS IS A SILVER PICK        TAKE THE OVER

AFC SOUTH

HOUSTON      8 WINS
Houston finished week 17 last year with a power rating of 25 and 6 wins.  They are obviously a better team this year but how much better is hard to predict.  Eagleseye gives them a power rating of around 17 but they have a fairly tough schedule (10).  7 wins are locked, 8 wins are probable and 9 wins are possible. BUT we do not risk our hard earned profits on potential.
Eagleseye says NO ACTION.

INDIANAPOLIS    9.5 WINS
Colts are looking precarious to the Eagle this year.  They appear to be a little weaker than last year and have dropped to 12 in the concencus power rating.  They also have a #3 ranked strength of schedule so on paper it looks like one less win than the 10 from last year.
Eagleseye says 9 is the number so we are UNDER but no margin of error to give us any confidence.

JACKSONVILLE 6.5 WINS
Jags have a #3 ranked strength of schedule like the Colts and are ranked around 23 on concensus power rankings.  Vegas has them pegged 1.5 wins below 2010's total of 8.  They should not breach the 6 mark and hopefully will win 5 at most.
Eagleseye says UNDER but again like the Colts, we do not have enough margin of error to justify laying the lumber on the Jags.

TENNESSEE 7 WINS
Titans are another team that appear to be weaker than 2010.  They won 6 last year but have a weaker schedule this year (23).  Power ranking is around 20.  Eagle sees 7 as the absolute maximum number of wins that the Titans will achieve this year so this is a relatively safe investment.  However, we do not want to tie up our bankroll in wagers that could end up in a tie.  If you can get 7.5 then thats a different story.
Eagleseye says NO ACTION

AFC EAST

BUFFALO 5.5 WINS
It looks like the Bills are going to be relatively relable this year.  By that I mean that they are going to be quite predictable.  Hopefully the Eagleseye is correct about that, then we will be able to exploit the lines on the Buffalo games.
Tough schedule (3).  Poor power rating (27).  The Eagleseye sees 4 on the cards for the Bills and we have lots of company.
THIS IS A SILVER PICK          TAKE THE UNDER

MIAMI    7.5 WINS
The Dolphins did not do themselves any favors in the off season.  They slipped 4 spots in the power ratings to 19 and have a schedule that is ranked 10th.  We have seen one pundit that is touting 10 wins for the fish this year and I do not know where that is coming from.  However, it appears that our prediciton is not going to leave too much margin of error.
Eagleseye says 7 possible, 6 probable so we are UNDER but caution is recommended.

NEW ENGLAND   11.5 WINS
Consensus Power Ranking #1.  Strength of Schedule #15.  14 wins last year.  Slight improvement in the off season.  Eagleseye sees 12 as a lock, 13 as a probable and 14 as a possible.
THIS IS A SILVER PICK    TAKE THE OVER

NEW YORK JETS  10 WINS
Conventional wisdom is that the Jets are not improved over last year.  However, there are not many sports journalists willing to give up on them.  Power rank is 10 ish and they have a tough schedule.  11 wins last year and there will be 11 wins this year.
Eagleseye says take the OVER but keep it reasonable.

AFC WEST

DENVER          5 WINS
The Broncos are under construction and a running into a tough schedule this year.  Too early to tell if there are going to be any signs of dramatic improvement. 4 wins last year and their schedule was a little easier.  Eagleseye says 3 wins might be the number here and 4 would not be a surprise so we have a little cushion.
THIS IS A SILVER PICK      TAKE THE UNDER

KANSAS CITY    7.5 WINS
Hail to the Chiefs, I mean the Oddsmakers, they have taken the wiggle room out of this wager.  KC might win more than 8 this year, but a tougher schedule than 2010 makes 9 wins a bit of a pipe dream.  Therefore this is too tight.
Eagleseye says NO ACTION is the right move here.

OAKLAND     7 WINS
The Raiders are not the team they were last year. Far from it.  24 is their generous concensus power rating.  19 is their strength of schedule.  The Eagleseye does not see anything in the stats that would lead us to believe that 7 wins are achievable.  4 is probable, 5 is possible, 6 would be an achievement.
THIS IS A GOLD PICK     TAKE THE UNDER

SAN DIEGO    9.5 WINS
The Chargers are the cream of this AFC West crop.  Power rating 9 but a relatively tough schedule.
9 wins last season and that might turn into a 10 or remain a 9 this season.  Too tight for an investment, unless you want to wager on them winning the AFC West, which is a lock.  Good luck finding that action.
Eagleseye says NO ACTION unless you have money to burn.

There you have the AFC.  2 SOLID GOLDS and 6 SOLID SILVER
Strength of schedule in the AFC on average appears to be tougher than the NFC, so we can have a little more fun with the NFC.
The Eagleseye NFC picks include 4 SOLID GOLD PICKS and 3 SOLID SILVER PICKS.
Please check back tomorrow night for the inside scoop.

EAGLESEYE

8/17/11

FREE NFL PICKS WIN TOTALS 2011

Good Evening Football Fans
As stated in a previous post, the EAGLESEYE has never published Win totals before this year.
The guidance given on August 5th on this blog was decent but we are about to release the definitive guidance for all 32 teams.
This will be the last year that this is given away for free so I hope you are able to profit from it and bank some cash to purchase this guidance next year.
As with everything the Eagleseye presents to you, it is the result of significant, in depth statistical analysis which is flushed through a series of unemotional checks and balances.  This provides the purest and most accurate predictions for you.
Complete breakdown coming soon.

8/16/11

THATS WHY PRE-SEASON GAMES ARE UNTOUCHABLE

It is interesting to watch some of the strategies and scrimmaging going on on the pre-season football fields.  However I feel that I am running the risk of damaging the EAGLESEYE's great reputation by throwing the proverbial **** againat the wall.
I do not want some of the new and most welcome readers of the EAGLESEYE to think that this is guesswork.  Therefore, we will not be prognosticating on the rest of the pre-season schedule.
However, as we get closer to the start of the season, I will be providing some guidance that will make the season most interesting.
The next post will be an update and in some cases a revision of the FIRST EVER EAGLESEYE WIN TOTAL PREDICTIONS FOR 2011.

8/12/11

FREE NFL PRE_SEASON PICKS

First of all I want to thank you all for the significant increase in traffic on this blog.
I deliberately try to make this a quick and efficient read and it appears that like the EAGLESEYE system, it is working.

Because this system is UNEMOTIONAL and strictly based on statistical analysis, I do not get bogged down with details and hype that other sites get involved in.  However I will add detail and commentary that will enhance your enjoyment and clarify certain situations if necessary.

The INNER SANCTUM report does provide a more detailed explanation of predictions, especially the GOLD and SILVER selections.  My email is at the bottom of this post if you wish to contact me for details.

Tonights action was somewhat interesting but these games are meaningless and therefore picks are just for the heck of it. 3 and 3 on our just for fun picks, bringing the total to 5 and 5 for the pre-season.

We have 5 more games coming up tomorrow and Jets Houston on Monday Night.

If you cannot leave these games alone, here are some prognostications that might make you a few bucks.

Take BEARS -3 against the BUFFALO BILLS
This game should stay UNDER 36

Enjoy INDY +7 against the RAMS
Not a lot of Defence happening so go OVER 34

GIANTS +2 begin the pounding of the PANTHERS
They might make the OVER 33 by themselves

VIKINGS +3 against the TITANS
OVER 33 would be the way to go here

PACKERS +2 versus the Browns
Take the OVER 35.5

Monday Nights game should be fun to watch.
Probably a higher scoring affair,
Take the JETS +2.5 against HOUSTON and OVER 34.5

REMEMBER THIS IS NOT OFFICIAL EAGLESEYE GUIDANCE
WE WILL BE COMING OUT WEEK ONE WITH THE GOOD STUFF.
Email me at eagleseyenfl@gmail.com to find out how you can get join the INNER SANCTUM and get GUARANTEED guidance that has a produced positive returns for more than 10 years.

Have a great weekend

Eagleseye

8/11/11

FREE NFL PRE-SEASON PICKS

Well 2 and 2 on tonights games.  Thats why we do not take these games too seriously.

Just for fun we are going to make 6 picks on tonights games.

ATLANTA -2 V MIAMI
NEW ORLEANS -3 V SAN FRANCISCO
DETROIT -4 V CINCY
KC+3 V TAMPA BAY
PITT +2 V WASHINGTON
PITT WASH UNDER 33

Enjoy the games

Eagleseye

8/9/11

FREE NFL PRE-SEASON PICKS

OK OK I know it has been a long time since the Superbowl and I know some of you are salivating over the prospect of some NFL action coming up this month.  Well, I strongly discourage laying the lumber on pre-season games.  There are 800 numbers and support groups for these people. 
That being said, just for sport, if you are going to sacrifice a few dollars just to make it interesting, here is a little guidance for you.

TAKE THE PATRIOTS -4 AGAINST THE JAGUARS
The Patriots Third stringers should take care of this nicely.

TAKE SAN DIEGO -3.5 AGAINST SEATTLE
This might be a fun game to watch.

TAKE DALLAS COWBOYS -3 V DENVER
Dallas are going to play to impress Jerry Jones every snap this year.

EAGLES RAVENS UNDER 34
Boring uneventful game.  More like a scrimmage.

THIS IS NOT OFFICIAL EAGLESEYE GUIDANCE
DO NOT TRY TO PUT YOUR MAN OUT OF BUSINESS ON THESE.
WE WILL DO THAT LATER IN THE YEAR.

Enjoy whats left of the Summer

8/5/11

FREE NFL OVER UNDER PICKS

This is an Eagleseye first.

We have decided to post some guidance for our followers on WIN totals for the season.
The Eagleseye has performed a detailed analysis of every NFL regular season game and has established win totals for each of the 32 NFL teams.
By comparing the Eagleseye number to the Vegas totals, we have found some glaring errors.
THERE ARE 9 SOLID GOLD PICKS TO INVEST IN FOR SPECTACULAR RETURNS (Especially when compared to the CD rates at your local bank).
We also have 9 SILVER picks if you really want to take it to your bookie.

These selections are in order of confidence.

GOLD #1        SAN FRANCISCO 49'RS          UNDER 7 WINS
This is going to be a very long season for the Niners.

GOLD #2        OAKLAND RAIDERS              UNDER 7 WINS
There's only one team in California and it isn't the Raiders.

GOLD #3        DETROIT LIONS                      OVER 7.5 WINS
Should have had 8 wins last year and will improve significantly this year.

GOLD #4        WASHINGTON REDSKINS    UNDER 6.5 WINS
Just like the Politicians that infest that city, they are bad, very very bad.

GOLD #5        ATLANTA FALCONS             OVER 10 WINS
12 wins last year should blow through 10 nicely

GOLD #6        TENNESSEE TITANS              UNDER 7 WINS
No way they even win the 6 they won last year.

GOLD #7        DENVER BRONCOS               UNDER 5.5 WINS
Rebuilding or just falling apart ? 5.5 is more than a mile high for this team.

GOLD #8        PITTSBURGH STEELERS      OVER 11 WINS
Unless Big Ben gets jailed for Rape, this is going to be another solid STEEL CITY season.

GOLD #9       GREEN BAY PACKERS          OVER 11 WINS
The Pack should provide a handsome defense of the Lombardi Trophy.

SILVER #10   BALTIMORE RAVENS          OVER 10.5 WINS
Should keep the Steelers in their sights all season in the AFC North.

SILVER #11  JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS   UNDER 6.5 WINS
Disappointing year ahead for the Jags.  Tampa are the pride of Florida again this season.

SILVER #12  PHILADELPHIA EAGLES      OVER 9.5 WINS
Eagles will win NFC East this year and will win several more games than 9.5 to do it.

SILVER #13   NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS  OVER 11.5 WINS
14 wins last year and probably another 14 this season for Brady and the Gang.

SILVER #14   TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS  OVER 8 WINS
Will finish third in the division again but should repeat the 10 wins of last season.

SILVER #15    NEW ORLEANS SAINTS       OVER 10 WINS
Heated battle again in this division and another solid season in the big easy.

SILVER #16    MIAMI DOLPHINS                 UNDER 7.5 WINS
What can we say, 6 might be a stretch for the stinky fish.

SILVER #17    BUFFALO BILLS                    UNDER 5.5 WINS
The Bills will spend the entire season in the basement.

SILVER #18    CAROLINA PANTHERS        UNDER 4.5 WINS
Some experts have Carolina at 1 win this year.  The Eagleseye sees 3 maximum.

Here are the projected total for the rest of the teams.  However there are no official picks because there is not a big enough margin of error.
CINN UNDER 7          CLEV UNDER 7     HOUSTON OVER 8           INDY UNDER 9.5
JETS OVER 10            KC OVER 7.5          SAN DIEGO OVER 9.5     CHICAGO OVER 8.5
MINN UNDER 6.5      DALLAS N/A          GIANTS OVER 9.5            AZ OVER 5.5
SEATTLE OVER 6.5  SAINT LOUIS N/A

I am going to give these out for free because this is the first year that the EYE has come out with these so enjoy them with our compliments.
Enjoy your weekend and check back for updates as the season approaches.
Contact me at eagleseyenfl@gmail.com if you wish to join the INNER SANCTUM.
The Eagleseye weekly GOLD and SILVER ATS, MONEYLINE and OVER/UNDER picks are guaranteed to financially enhance your NFL experience.

EAGLESEYE